Ce Liu vs Rob MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record5-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight230 lbs
CFPTeamFranco Behring
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ce LiuRob MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ce Liu63%
Rob MacDonald 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 63% favorite over Rob MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1542), separated by just 7 points.
Rob MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rob MacDonald 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.