Combat Edge Intelligence

Cesar Arzamendia vs Damien Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record19-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraguay Combat TeamTeamBase Training Centre

What's at stake

Damien Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cesar Arzamendia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cesar ArzamendiaNow 1499
If they win+20→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1487
Damien BrownNow 1583
If they win+9→ 1592
If they lose-15→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.86
56%
Strike defense
50%
7.32
Takedown avg.
0.68
75%
Takedown accuracy
27%
0%
Takedown defense
54%
2.44
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Cesar ArzamendiaDamien Brown
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
4 (40%)
Submission
9 (47%)
4 (40%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Damien Brown57%
Cesar Arzamendia 43%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Damien Brown a 57% favorite over Cesar Arzamendia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Damien Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1499, a 84-point edge.

Cesar Arzamendia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cesar Arzamendia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Damien Brown 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.