Cesar Arzamendia vs Marco Polo Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraguay Combat TeamTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Marco Polo Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cesar Arzamendia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1518
If they lose-13→ 1486
If they win+13→ 1580
If they lose-19→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cesar ArzamendiaMarco Polo Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cesar Arzamendia and Marco Polo Reyes within a point of even.
Marco Polo Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1499, a 68-point edge.
Cesar Arzamendia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cesar Arzamendia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.
Cesar Arzamendia and Marco Polo Reyes share 1 common opponent: Fernando Martinez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision · 2013
Loss Guillotine Choke · 2021