Cesar Gracie vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReachTBD
181 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1510
If they lose-24→ 1462
If they win+16→ 1506
If they lose-16→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cesar GracieRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cesar Gracie52%
Ryan Parker 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cesar Gracie a 52% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Parker's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1486 vs 1490), separated by just 4 points.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.