Cezar Ferreira vs Douglas Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamAstra Fight Team· 1581 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraDouglas Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cezar Ferreira51%
Douglas Rodrigues 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cezar Ferreira a 51% favorite over Douglas Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Rodrigues 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.