Cezar Ferreira vs Elias Theodorou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record19-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach75,5"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKros Gym
What's at stake
Elias Theodorou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1609
If they lose-6→ 1585
If they win+8→ 1780
If they lose-24→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraElias Theodorou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Theodorou84%
Cezar Ferreira 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Theodorou a 84% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Elias Theodorou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1591, a 181-point edge.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Elias Theodorou 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.