Cezar Ferreira vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
216 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-7→ 1585
If they win+7→ 1747
If they lose-17→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Masvidal79%
Cezar Ferreira 21%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Masvidal a 79% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1592, a 148-point edge.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.