Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezar Ferreira vs Oluwale Bamgbose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach78,0"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamChute Boxe USA

What's at stake

Cezar Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Oluwale Bamgbose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cezar FerreiraNow 1591
If they win+11→ 1602
If they lose-13→ 1578
Oluwale BamgboseNow 1566
If they win+17→ 1583
If they lose-15→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
54%
Strike defense
55%
2.69
Takedown avg.
0.94
54%
Takedown accuracy
33%
85%
Takedown defense
38%
0.48
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cezar FerreiraOluwale Bamgbose
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
4 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Oluwale Bamgbose56%
Cezar Ferreira 44%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Oluwale Bamgbose a 56% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cezar Ferreira's way (46%).

Cezar Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1566, a 25-point edge.

Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Oluwale Bamgbose 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.