Cezar Ferreira vs Ryan Loder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record7-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamApex Wrestling Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraRyan Loder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Loder66%
Cezar Ferreira 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 66% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cezar Ferreira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.