Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezar Ferreira vs Tre'ston Vines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach79"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKage Fit Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cezar FerreiraNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
Tre'ston VinesNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.90
Sig. strikes / min
0
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
54%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
85%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.48
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cezar FerreiraTre'ston Vines
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (10%)
6 (43%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Tre'ston Vines66%
Cezar Ferreira 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tre'ston Vines a 66% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cezar Ferreira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.

Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.