Chad Anheliger vs Dan Argueta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad AnheligerDan Argueta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Argueta60%
Chad Anheliger 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 60% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1629), separated by just 4 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Dan Argueta 67%.
Dan Argueta carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.