Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad George vs Gustavo Lopez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad George
us

Chad George

“Savage”

18-8-0BantamweightLOXF

1632Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
California Mixed Martial ArtsTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad GeorgeNow 1632
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
Gustavo LopezNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
2.95
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.98
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad GeorgeGustavo Lopez
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
10 (56%)
Submission
8 (50%)
3 (17%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Gustavo Lopez53%
Chad George 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Lopez a 53% favorite over Chad George in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.

Chad George enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Chad George finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.