Chad Griggs vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Apex MMATeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad GriggsRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raffael Cerqueira52%
Chad Griggs 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raffael Cerqueira a 52% favorite over Chad Griggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Chad Griggs enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chad Griggs finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.