Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Hanekom vs Chase Waldon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach41,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamSpartan Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad HanekomNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Chase WaldonNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.03
48%
Strike accuracy
29%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.72
33%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
7.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
71%
Takedown defense
0%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chad HanekomChase Waldon
16502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (45%)
Submission
5 (45%)
2 (18%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Hanekom56%
Chase Waldon 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Hanekom a 56% favorite over Chase Waldon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Chase Waldon 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.