Chad Hanekom vs Gustavo Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1654 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad HanekomGustavo Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Sousa58%
Chad Hanekom 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Sousa a 58% favorite over Chad Hanekom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.
Gustavo Sousa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Sousa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.