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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Hanekom vs Jason Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamTeam Mayhem

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad HanekomNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jason MillerNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.45
48%
Strike accuracy
33%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
33%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
1.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
71%
Takedown defense
44%
1
Submission avg.
1.28

Trajectory

Chad HanekomJason Miller
1650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
5 (45%)
Submission
14 (61%)
2 (18%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Miller64%
Chad Hanekom 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Miller a 64% favorite over Chad Hanekom in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Hanekom's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Jason Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jason Miller 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.