Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Hanekom vs Steve Cantwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad HanekomNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Steve CantwellNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.76
33%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.65
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
71%
Takedown defense
81%
1
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Chad HanekomSteve Cantwell
165017002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (45%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Hanekom60%
Steve Cantwell 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Hanekom a 60% favorite over Steve Cantwell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.