Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Hanekom vs Theo Haig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach77.5"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad HanekomNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Theo HaigNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
33%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
1
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chad HanekomTheo Haig
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Submission
7 (100%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Theo Haig55%
Chad Hanekom 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theo Haig a 55% favorite over Chad Hanekom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Chad Hanekom finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Theo Haig 100%.

Theo Haig carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.