Chad Johnson vs Petera Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
227 lbsWeight265 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1523
If they lose-15→ 1491
If they win+23→ 1541
If they lose-25→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad JohnsonPetera Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petera Wilson64%
Chad Johnson 36%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Petera Wilson a 64% favorite over Chad Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1518), separated by just 12 points.
Chad Johnson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Petera Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chad Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Petera Wilson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.