Chad Johnson vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
227 lbsWeight240 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1522
If they lose-16→ 1490
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad JohnsonSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter62%
Chad Johnson 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 62% favorite over Chad Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1509), separated by just 3 points.
Chad Johnson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chad Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.