Chad Leonhardt vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad LeonhardtJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan55%
Chad Leonhardt 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 55% favorite over Chad Leonhardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Leonhardt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1546), separated by just 0 points.
Chad Leonhardt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chad Leonhardt finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.