Chad Mendes vs Frankie Edgar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Chad Mendes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-11→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad MendesFrankie Edgar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Mendes54%
Frankie Edgar 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Mendes a 54% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Chad Mendes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1691, a 16-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.
Frankie Edgar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.