Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Mendes vs Jamall Emmers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Mendes
us

Chad Mendes

“Money”

18-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1707Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record23-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamPinnacle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad MendesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Jamall EmmersNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
5.10
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
67%
Strike defense
58%
4.13
Takedown avg.
2.59
56%
Takedown accuracy
23%
100%
Takedown defense
81%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Chad MendesJamall Emmers
170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (13%)
8 (44%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamall Emmers84%
Chad Mendes 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamall Emmers a 84% favorite over Chad Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Mendes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.

Jamall Emmers enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jamall Emmers 57%.

Jamall Emmers carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.