Chad Mendes vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad MendesMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miles Johns52%
Chad Mendes 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 52% favorite over Chad Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Mendes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1707), separated by just 0 points.
Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.