Chad Mendes vs Rani Yahya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record28-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamConstrictor Team
What's at stake
Chad Mendes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rani Yahya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
If they win+13→ 1703
If they lose-11→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad MendesRani Yahya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Mendes58%
Rani Yahya 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Mendes a 58% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Chad Mendes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1690, a 17-point edge.
Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.