Chad Mendes vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chad Mendes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1692
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-13→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad MendesRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Lamas54%
Chad Mendes 46%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 54% favorite over Chad Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1707, a 23-point edge.
Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Chad Mendes and Ricardo Lamas share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Ricardo Lamas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.