Chad Mendes vs Salamat Isbulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamErkin Kush
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad MendesSalamat Isbulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Salamat Isbulaev79%
Chad Mendes 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Salamat Isbulaev a 79% favorite over Chad Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.
Chad Mendes finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Salamat Isbulaev 100%.
Salamat Isbulaev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.