Chad Robichaux vs Mitch Raposo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gracie BarraTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad RobichauxMitch Raposo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitch Raposo66%
Chad Robichaux 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Raposo a 66% favorite over Chad Robichaux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.
Chad Robichaux enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mitch Raposo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chad Robichaux finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Raposo 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.