Chad Vance vs David Allen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamRoker Rough House MMA
What's at stake
David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Chad Vance carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1459
If they lose-22→ 1411
If they win+22→ 1491
If they lose-26→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad VanceDavid Allen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Allen70%
Chad Vance 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 70% favorite over Chad Vance in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1433, a 36-point edge.
David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chad Vance finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.