Chad Vance vs Dominic Schober
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record16-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
TeamGym 23· 1615 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1457
If they lose-24→ 1409
If they win+16→ 1445
If they lose-16→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad VanceDominic Schober
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Vance60%
Dominic Schober 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Vance a 60% favorite over Dominic Schober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1433 vs 1429), separated by just 4 points.
Chad Vance finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Dominic Schober 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.