Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Vance vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chad Vance carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chad VanceNow 1433
If they win+26→ 1459
If they lose-22→ 1411
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+14→ 1480
If they lose-18→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad VanceOndřej Raška
1400145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (38%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (13%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška66%
Chad Vance 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 66% favorite over Chad Vance in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1433, a 33-point edge.

Chad Vance finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.