Chad Vance vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Chad Vance carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1461
If they lose-20→ 1413
If they win+13→ 1503
If they lose-19→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad VanceRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker56%
Chad Vance 44%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 56% favorite over Chad Vance in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1433, a 57-point edge.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chad Vance finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.