Chad Yard vs Christopher Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"Reach-
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Christopher Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Chad Yard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
If they win+23→ 1516
If they lose-25→ 1468
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardChristopher Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard51%
Christopher Collins 49%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 51% favorite over Christopher Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christopher Collins's way (47%).
Christopher Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1472, a 21-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.