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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Guto Inocente

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1473Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight254 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Guto InocenteNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
67%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.67
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Chad YardGuto Inocente
15002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard61%
Guto Inocente 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 61% favorite over Guto Inocente in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guto Inocente's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1476), separated by just 3 points.

Guto Inocente enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Guto Inocente 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.