Chad Yard vs Houston Alexander
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record17-16-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight203 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
Chad Yard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Houston Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1494
If they lose-26→ 1446
If they win+13→ 1463
If they lose-11→ 1439
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardHouston Alexander
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard75%
Houston Alexander 25%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 75% favorite over Houston Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Chad Yard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1450, a 22-point edge.
Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Houston Alexander 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.