Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs James McSweeney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-18-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight248 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamMcSweeney Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
James McSweeneyNow 1486
If they win+12→ 1498
If they lose-12→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Chad YardJames McSweeney
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard75%
James McSweeney 25%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 75% favorite over James McSweeney in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James McSweeney's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1486), separated by just 14 points.

James McSweeney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

James McSweeney 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.