Chad Yard vs Juan Mott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight187 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamJuan Mott Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardJuan Mott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard62%
Juan Mott 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 62% favorite over Juan Mott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Mott's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1478), separated by just 6 points.
Juan Mott 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.