Chad Yard vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record14-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75"Reach75.50"
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chad Yard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1498
If they lose-22→ 1450
If they win+15→ 1512
If they lose-17→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard70%
Karl Albrektsson 30%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 70% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karl Albrektsson's way (46%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1472, a 25-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.