Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Luis Henrique

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75"Reach42.50
223 lbsWeight253 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
Luis HenriqueNow 1483
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Chad YardLuis Henrique
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard68%
Luis Henrique 32%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 68% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Henrique's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1483), separated by just 11 points.

Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.