Chad Yard vs Matt Foki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'7"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamTant's Gym
What's at stake
Chad Yard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Matt Foki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard66%
Matt Foki 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 66% favorite over Matt Foki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Chad Yard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1458, a 15-point edge.
Matt Foki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matt Foki 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.