Chad Yard vs Matt Van Buren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record7-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamTeam Gutter
What's at stake
Matt Van Buren is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chad Yard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
If they win+15→ 1508
If they lose-17→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardMatt Van Buren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard70%
Matt Van Buren 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 70% favorite over Matt Van Buren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Van Buren's way (47%).
Matt Van Buren holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1472, a 21-point edge.
Matt Van Buren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Van Buren 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.