Chad Yard vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
75"Reach-
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight FactoryTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
If they win+23→ 1507
If they lose-25→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard60%
Sam Fournier 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 60% favorite over Sam Fournier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Fournier's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1484), separated by just 12 points.
Sam Fournier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.