Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Takahiro Oba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight198 lbs
Fight FactoryTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Takahiro ObaNow 1468
If they win+16→ 1484
If they lose-16→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad YardTakahiro Oba
1450150020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard70%
Takahiro Oba 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 70% favorite over Takahiro Oba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1468), separated by just 4 points.

Takahiro Oba 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.