Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Todd Butler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record1-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight198 lbs
Fight FactoryTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+23→ 1495
If they lose-25→ 1447
Todd ButlerNow 1458
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad YardTodd Butler
145019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard63%
Todd Butler 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 63% favorite over Todd Butler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1458), separated by just 14 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.