Chael Sonnen vs Damian Piwowarczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'6"
73"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenDamian Piwowarczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chael Sonnen and Damian Piwowarczyk within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Damian Piwowarczyk enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Damian Piwowarczyk 92%.
Damian Piwowarczyk carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.