Chael Sonnen vs Dan Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Dan Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chael Sonnen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-11→ 1661
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-17→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenDan Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Miller67%
Chael Sonnen 33%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Miller a 67% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Dan Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1672, a 15-point edge.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Dan Miller 71%.
Chael Sonnen and Dan Miller share 1 common opponent: Michael Bisping.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.