Chael Sonnen vs Jeremy Horn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record92-22-5
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamJeremy Horn's Elite Performance
What's at stake
Jeremy Horn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chael Sonnen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-8→ 1664
If they win+8→ 1809
If they lose-16→ 1785
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenJeremy Horn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Horn61%
Chael Sonnen 39%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Horn a 61% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Jeremy Horn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1672, a 129-point edge.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Horn 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.