Chael Sonnen vs Laurynas Urbonavicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team QuestTeamVale Tudo MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenLaurynas Urbonavicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Laurynas Urbonavicius70%
Chael Sonnen 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Laurynas Urbonavicius a 70% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1677), separated by just 5 points.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Laurynas Urbonavicius 73%.
Laurynas Urbonavicius carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.