Chael Sonnen vs Michael Bisping
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record30-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach75″
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamHB Ultimate
What's at stake
Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chael Sonnen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-10→ 1662
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenMichael Bisping
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Bisping72%
Chael Sonnen 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 72% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1672, a 69-point edge.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.
Chael Sonnen and Michael Bisping share 1 common opponent: Anderson Silva.
Michael Bisping carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.