Chael Sonnen vs Renato Sobral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team QuestTeamBabalu's Iron Gym
What's at stake
Renato Sobral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chael Sonnen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-11→ 1661
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenRenato Sobral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chael Sonnen53%
Renato Sobral 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Chael Sonnen a 53% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Sobral's way (48%).
Renato Sobral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1672, a 15-point edge.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.